NFL Picks
NFL 2025 Playoffs 4 (Super Bowl)
NFL 2025 Playoffs 4 (Super Bowl)
Third week of the playoffs and I’m 10-2 thus far. No ATS picks, all moneyline. My picks will be listed first and the home team will be in CAPS.
Super Bowl:
Chiefs vs Eagles ❌
NFL 2025 Playoffs Week 3
Third week of the playoffs and I’m 9-1 thus far. No ATS picks, all moneyline. My picks will be listed first and the home team will be in CAPS.
AFC:
Bills at CHIEFS ❌
NFC:
EAGLES vs Commanders ✅
NFL 2025 Playoffs Week 2
Second week of the playoffs and I went 6-0 last week. No ATS picks, all moneyline. My picks will be listed first and the home team will be in CAPS.
AFC:
CHIEFS vs Texans ✅
BILLS vs Ravens ✅
NFC:
LIONS vs Commanders ❌
EAGLES vs Rams ✅
NFL 2025 Playoffs Week 1
First week of the playoffs, and I’ll attempt to pick my the winners of each game. No ATS picks, all moneyline. My picks will be listed first and the home team will be in CAPS.
AFC:
TEXANS vs Chargers ✅
RAVENS vs Steelers ✅
BILLS vs Broncos ✅
NFC:
Commanders at BUCS ✅
RAMS vs Vikings ✅
EAGLES vs Packers ✅
NFL 2024 Playoffs Week 2
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Texans +9.5 at RAVENS — Go Texans!
49ERS -9.5 vs. Packers — Nice run by the Packers but the 49ers are too good.
LIONS moneyline over Bucs — The Lions impressive season continues.
BILLS moneyline over Chiefs — Lets go Buffalo!
Last week: 3-3
NFL 2024 Playoffs Week 1
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Steelers +9.5 at BILLS — Too many points in such bad weather. ❌ The game was moved!
Dolphins +4.5 at CHIEFS — I don’t think the Chiefs have it this year. ❌ I haven’t change my mind about the Chiefs but, man, Tua just collapses in the cold.
Packers +7 at COWBOYS — I think the Packers could win this game so it checks Simmon’s manifesto. ✅ Wow
TEXANS moneyline over Browns — Go Texans! ✅ CJ is HIM
BUCS moneyline over Eagles — I agree with Nick Wright, this Eagles team is cooked ✅ I’m still not sure how they collapsed as hard and fast as they did
Rams moneyline over LIONS — I keep hearing how good the Rams are so I’m picking them. ❌ Nothing really to say
NFL 2023 Week 14
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Texans –3.5 at JETS — I’m going to continue to ride this Texans team. No Tank Dell does worry me a bit though. ❌ The Texans didn’t show up this game.
Lions –3.5 at BEARS — Bill Simmons took the other side of this, which I just don’t understand. The Bears aren’t a good football team and the Lions are. ❌ Just a bad pick.
CHIEFS, Bills over 49 –108 — I’m not sure who I like to win this game but I do think it’ll be a shoot-out. ❌
Last week: 1–2
NFL 2023 Week 13
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
BUCCANEERS -5 vs. Panthers — The Panthers are far and away the worst team in the league this year. I’m a bit worried about “new coach theory” here but I still like the Bucs to cover. ❌ I’m not too made about this, I was on the right side of this.
TEXANS -3 vs. Broncos — After a rough loss, and a sloppy game, last week I expect the Texans to bounce back this week ending the Broncos winning streak. I don’t think that turnover differential holds in this game, CJ just doesn’t turn the ball over. ✅ Go Texans!
EAGLES moneyline vs. 49ers +136 — Give me the team that went to the Super Bowl last year and has been the best team all year. ❌ Ouch.
Last week: 0-2-1
NFL 2023 Week 12
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
CARDINALS +2.5 vs. Rams — The Rams didn’t look good last week and I think Kyler is going to win a few games by himself this year, this might be one of them. ❌
EAGLES -3 vs. Bills — This Bills team just doesn’t “have it” this year. ➡️
TEXANS +1.5 vs. Jaguars — This Texans team does “have it” and I think they’ll win this game. ❌ After a few days to think about it, I think we should’ve gone for it on 4th & 12 instead of trying a 58 yard field goal.
Last week: 0-5
NFL 2023 Week 11
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
LIONS -7.5 vs. Bears — The Lions should rout this Bears team. ❌ Somehow they barely escaped with a win. What a dreadful game from Goff.
Seahawks -1 at Rams — I think the Seahawks are a better team and I expect them to win and if they do I’ll at least push ❌ McVay really does have Pete's number
Josh Jacobs anytime TD, Aaron Jones anytime TD parley +351 — Long-shot but I like these odds ❌ Still not unhappy with the bet
Chiefs/Eagles over 45.5, Travis Kelce anytime TD, A.J Brown anytime TD parley +425 — I think this is a high-scoring game and the best offense players on both teams score a TD, not much more too it ❌ This wasn’t very close to hitting but I still feel like it should've
Jared Goff over 1.5 passing TDs, Jared Goff over 276.5 passing yards +154 — I expect a big game from Goff, the Bears have been bad against the pass all season. ❌ See above
Last week: 4-1
This week: 0–5
Season to date: 14–32
NFL 2023 Week 10
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Texans +6.5 at BENGALS — I think the Texans could win this game but I love the back-door cover potential here ✅ Go Texans!
COWBOYS -17 vs. Giants — The last time these teams played the Cowboys won by 40 and that Giants team had Daniel Jones playing QB. I expect this game to be just as bad ✅ The Cowboys really beat up on bad teams
Lions -3 at CHARGERS, Jared Goff over 225 passing yards +138 — I like the Lions to cover and the only way that happens is if Goff has a big game ✅ The line pushed but Goff had a huge game
Giants under 10.5 points, Tommy DeVito under 0.5 passing TDs +130 — See above, I don’t think this Giants team will be able to move the ball. ❌ They scored on the Cowboys 3rd string defense, I should’ve seen that coming
COWBOYS over 3.5 team TDs +150 — Tripling down on this game for all the same reasons. ✅
Last week: 1-4
This week: 4–1
Season to date: 14–27
NFL 2023 Week 8
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Jags –2.5 at STEELERS — The Jags might be really good ✅ They might be really good
Bears +8.5 at CHARGERS — I don’t expect the Bears to win but I don’t think the Chargers should be favored this much against anybody. ❌ The Bears are back! (to being really bad as they should be)
COLTS +2, Jonathan Taylor anytime TD parley +200 — I sort of expect the Colts to win this game and for JT in his second week to have a big game ❌ Neither of these happened...
Texans moneyline, Tank Dell over 46.5 yards +186 — The Texans shouldn’t lose this game and CJ Stroud loves throwing to Tank Dell whose back in the lineup this week. ❌ What a terrible terrible loss
Chiefs moneyline, Travis Kelce anytime TD, Patrick Mahomes over 274.5 yards +284 — Mahomes hasn’t lost to the Broncos in his entire career, I expect a blowout by the Chiefs. ❌ I guess there’s a first for everything
Last week: 1-4
This week: 1–4
Season to date: 10–26
NFL 2023 Week 7
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Packers –1 at BRONCOS — I think the Broncos have already packed it up for this season ❌ Shouldn’t trust a “rookie” QB
Bills -9 at PATRIOTS — The Pats might be the worst team in the league. ❌ Are we sure Josh Allen is good?
CHIEFS/Chargers over 47.5 points and Justin Herbert over 225 passying yards +108 — I expect a lot of offense in this game ✅ This played out like I thought it would
BEARS/Raiders under 37.5 points and Tyson Bagent under 184.5 passing yards — These are 2 QBs who shouldn’t be starting in the NFL, I don’t expect many points ❌ Congrats to the Bears
RAMS moneyline, SEAHAWKS money line, Jared Goff over 175 passing yards parley +118 — I love everything about this but the Rams but I think Kenny Picket gives it away in the end ❌ He did not give it away in the end
Last week: 1–4
This week: 2–3
Season to date: 9–22
NFL 2023 Week 6
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Cowboys –2 at CHARGERS — After getting embarrassed last week I think the Cowboys come out swinging ✅ The Cowboys almost gave this away but eked it out in the end
Seahawks +3 at BENGALS — Seattle coming off a bye and I don’t believe in the Bengals yet. ❌ Seattle gave this game away
Raheem Mostert over 73.5 rushing yards, Mostert anytime TD, Tyreek Hill over 86.5 receiving yards +400 — I expect a lot of offense from the Dolphins his week ✅ This played out like I thought it would
49ers, Eagles, DOLPHINS, Vikings moneyline parley +180 — I haven’t hit a single moneyline parley yet but who’s losing? ❌ I think I’m done with moneyline parleys
49ers cover the spread (–10), game over 36.5 +220 No Watson means the 49ers are going to score a lot of points ❌ A terrible game by the 49ers
Last week: 0–5
This week: 2–3
Season to date: 8–18
NFL 2023 Week 5
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Texans +1.5 at FALCONS — The Texans are legit and we should beat this Falcons team. ❌ That was a very winnable game.
Ravens -4.5 at STEELERS — The Steelers got crushed last week and I believe in this Ravens team. ❌ Another game that should’ve gone the other way.
CARDINALS moneyline over the Bengals +136 — I don’t think this Bengals team will be win until Burrow gets healthy, which won’t happen until their bye week. ❌ Burrows back?
Chiefs, Ravens, DOLPHINS moneyline parley +158 — Another free money bet. Who’s going to lose? ❌ Sigh
LIONS moneyline & Goff over 242.5 passing yards +130 - I expect a lot from Goff this game. ❌ Goff ended up with 236 passing yards
Last week: 1-4
This week: 0-5
Season to date: 6-15
NFL 2023 Week 4
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Steelers -2.5 at TEXANS — The Texans played well last week but might trot out 3rd string OLs which I think the Steelers will take advantage of. ❌ Go Texans!
Chiefs -9 at JETS — The Jets won’t score more than 10 points and the Chiefs will get to around 24, simple as that. ❌ Chiefs play down to their competition, bad bet
JAGUARS -3 vs. Falcons — The Prince is back at home and I expect him to play well given his performance last week. The fact that the Jags play so many London games seems unfair. ✅ This played out like I thought it would
Chiefs, 49ERS, Bengals moneyline parley +133 — Another free money bet. Who’s going to lose? ❌ What is going on with the Bengals?
Chargers over 26.5 points & Joshua Palmer over 44.5 receiving yards +212 - This is a little flier that I stole my friend JD. Nothing else to say about this. ❌ So close!
Last week: 2-3
This week: 1-4
Season to date: 6-10
NFL 2023 Week 3
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Dolphins -6 vs. Broncos — The Dolphins keep looking good and Russ might get benched soon. ✅ wish I bet multiple units on this.
Titans over BROWNS moneyline +124 — The Titans are a well run team and the Browns just lost their best player for the year and Watson looks as bad as ever. ❌ Ouch, Watson looked as bad as I thought but that defense is incredible.
CHIEFS, Cowboys, SEAHAWKS, Bills moneyline parley +158 — I like all of these teams to win and I didn’t like any other opportunities available this week. ❌ This was free money but then the Cowboys Cowboys’ed.
Zay Flowers anytime TD +175 - The Colts defense is terrible and Lamar is starting to cook. ❌ This was just a silly bet.
Isiah Pacheco, Tyreek Hill anytime TD parley +358 - Pacheco hasn’t scored a TD all season and I suspect that will change against the terrible Bears. Tyreek is chasing records. I like them both to score this weekend. ✅ This made up for that terrible Cowboys game
Last week: 2-1
This week: 2-3
Season to date: 5-6
NFL 2023 Week 2
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Dolphins -3 at PATRIOTS — The Dolphins looked as good as I thought they would last week and I don’t believe in the Patriots. ✅ The final score doesn’t tell the whole story, this played out like I thought it would.
Packers +1.5 at FALCONS — Jordan Love might be legit and I know Desmond Ridder isn’t. ✅ Not exactly what I thought but I’ll take it.
Giants -4 at CARDNIALS — The Giants are better than they looked last week and the Cardinals are going 0-17. ❌ A massive comeback only to come up short, figures.
Last week: 1-2
This week: 2-1
Season to date: 3-3
NFL 2023 Week 1
My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.
Dolphins +3 at CHARGERS — I think this Dolphins team is going to be really good. ✅ Like I said.
SEAHAWKS -4.5 vs. Rams — I suspect the Seahawks to build off of their success last season and the Rams to tank this season. ❌ I’m still not sure what happened to the Seahawks.
VIKINGS -4 vs. Bucs — I’m buying into the Quarterbacks hype. ❌ Wow that was bad.
Season to date: 1-2