Stephen Meriwether’s Blog

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Texans +9.5 at RAVENS — Go Texans!

49ERS -9.5 vs. Packers — Nice run by the Packers but the 49ers are too good.

LIONS moneyline over Bucs — The Lions impressive season continues.

BILLS moneyline over Chiefs — Lets go Buffalo!

Last week: 3-3

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Steelers +9.5 at BILLS — Too many points in such bad weather. ❌ The game was moved!

Dolphins +4.5 at CHIEFS — I don’t think the Chiefs have it this year. ❌ I haven’t change my mind about the Chiefs but, man, Tua just collapses in the cold.

Packers +7 at COWBOYS — I think the Packers could win this game so it checks Simmon’s manifesto. ✅ Wow

TEXANS moneyline over Browns — Go Texans! ✅ CJ is HIM

BUCS moneyline over Eagles — I agree with Nick Wright, this Eagles team is cooked ✅ I’m still not sure how they collapsed as hard and fast as they did

Rams moneyline over LIONS — I keep hearing how good the Rams are so I’m picking them. ❌ Nothing really to say

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Texans –3.5 at JETS — I’m going to continue to ride this Texans team. No Tank Dell does worry me a bit though. ❌ The Texans didn’t show up this game.

Lions –3.5 at BEARS — Bill Simmons took the other side of this, which I just don’t understand. The Bears aren’t a good football team and the Lions are. ❌ Just a bad pick.

CHIEFS, Bills over 49 –108 — I’m not sure who I like to win this game but I do think it’ll be a shoot-out. ❌ 

Last week: 1–2

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

BUCCANEERS -5 vs. Panthers — The Panthers are far and away the worst team in the league this year. I’m a bit worried about “new coach theory” here but I still like the Bucs to cover. ❌ I’m not too made about this, I was on the right side of this.

TEXANS -3 vs. Broncos — After a rough loss, and a sloppy game, last week I expect the Texans to bounce back this week ending the Broncos winning streak. I don’t think that turnover differential holds in this game, CJ just doesn’t turn the ball over. ✅ Go Texans!

EAGLES moneyline vs. 49ers +136 — Give me the team that went to the Super Bowl last year and has been the best team all year. ❌ Ouch.

Last week: 0-2-1

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

CARDINALS +2.5 vs. Rams — The Rams didn’t look good last week and I think Kyler is going to win a few games by himself this year, this might be one of them. ❌

EAGLES -3 vs. Bills — This Bills team just doesn’t “have it” this year. ➡️

TEXANS +1.5 vs. Jaguars — This Texans team does “have it” and I think they’ll win this game. ❌ After a few days to think about it, I think we should’ve gone for it on 4th & 12 instead of trying a 58 yard field goal. 

Last week: 0-5

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

LIONS -7.5 vs. Bears — The Lions should rout this Bears team. ❌ Somehow they barely escaped with a win. What a dreadful game from Goff.

Seahawks -1 at Rams — I think the Seahawks are a better team and I expect them to win and if they do I’ll at least push ❌ McVay really does have Pete's number

Josh Jacobs anytime TD, Aaron Jones anytime TD parley +351 — Long-shot but I like these odds ❌ Still not unhappy with the bet

Chiefs/Eagles over 45.5, Travis Kelce anytime TD, A.J Brown anytime TD parley +425 — I think this is a high-scoring game and the best offense players on both teams score a TD, not much more too it  ❌ This wasn’t very close to hitting but I still feel like it should've

Jared Goff over 1.5 passing TDs, Jared Goff over 276.5 passing yards +154 — I expect a big game from Goff, the Bears have been bad against the pass all season. ❌ See above 

Last week: 4-1

This week: 0–5

Season to date: 14–32

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Texans +6.5 at BENGALS — I think the Texans could win this game but I love the back-door cover potential here ✅ Go Texans!

COWBOYS -17 vs. Giants — The last time these teams played the Cowboys won by 40 and that Giants team had Daniel Jones playing QB. I expect this game to be just as bad ✅ The Cowboys really beat up on bad teams

Lions -3 at CHARGERS, Jared Goff over 225 passing yards +138 — I like the Lions to cover and the only way that happens is if Goff has a big game ✅ The line pushed but Goff had a huge game

Giants under 10.5 points, Tommy DeVito under 0.5 passing TDs +130 — See above, I don’t think this Giants team will be able to move the ball. ❌ They scored on the Cowboys 3rd string defense, I should’ve seen that coming

COWBOYS over 3.5 team TDs +150 — Tripling down on this game for all the same reasons. ✅ 

Last week: 1-4

This week: 4–1

Season to date: 14–27

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Jags –2.5 at STEELERS — The Jags might be really good ✅ They might be really good

Bears +8.5 at CHARGERS — I don’t expect the Bears to win but I don’t think the Chargers should be favored this much against anybody. ❌ The Bears are back! (to being really bad as they should be)

COLTS +2, Jonathan Taylor anytime TD parley +200 — I sort of expect the Colts to win this game and for JT in his second week to have a big game ❌ Neither of these happened...

Texans moneyline, Tank Dell over 46.5 yards +186 — The Texans shouldn’t lose this game and CJ Stroud loves throwing to Tank Dell whose back in the lineup this week. ❌ What a terrible terrible loss

Chiefs moneyline, Travis Kelce anytime TD, Patrick Mahomes over 274.5 yards +284 — Mahomes hasn’t lost to the Broncos in his entire career, I expect a blowout by the Chiefs. ❌ I guess there’s a first for everything

Last week: 1-4

This week: 1–4

Season to date: 10–26

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Packers –1 at BRONCOS — I think the Broncos have already packed it up for this season ❌ Shouldn’t trust a “rookie” QB

Bills -9 at PATRIOTS — The Pats might be the worst team in the league. ❌ Are we sure Josh Allen is good?

CHIEFS/Chargers over 47.5 points and Justin Herbert over 225 passying yards +108 — I expect a lot of offense in this game ✅ This played out like I thought it would

BEARS/Raiders under 37.5 points and Tyson Bagent under 184.5 passing yards — These are 2 QBs who shouldn’t be starting in the NFL, I don’t expect many points ❌ Congrats to the Bears

RAMS moneyline, SEAHAWKS money line, Jared Goff over 175 passing yards parley +118 — I love everything about this but the Rams but I think Kenny Picket gives it away in the end ❌ He did not give it away in the end

Last week: 1–4

This week: 2–3

Season to date: 9–22

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Cowboys –2 at CHARGERS — After getting embarrassed last week I think the Cowboys come out swinging ✅ The Cowboys almost gave this away but eked it out in the end

Seahawks +3 at BENGALS — Seattle coming off a bye and I don’t believe in the Bengals yet. ❌ Seattle gave this game away

Raheem Mostert over 73.5 rushing yards, Mostert anytime TD, Tyreek Hill over 86.5 receiving yards +400 — I expect a lot of offense from the Dolphins his week ✅ This played out like I thought it would

49ers, Eagles, DOLPHINS, Vikings moneyline parley +180 — I haven’t hit a single moneyline parley yet but who’s losing? ❌ I think I’m done with moneyline parleys

49ers cover the spread (–10), game over 36.5 +220 No Watson means the 49ers are going to score a lot of points ❌ A terrible game by the 49ers

Last week: 0–5

This week: 2–3

Season to date: 8–18

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Texans +1.5 at FALCONS — The Texans are legit and we should beat this Falcons team. ❌ That was a very winnable game.

Ravens -4.5 at STEELERS — The Steelers got crushed last week and I believe in this Ravens team. ❌ Another game that should’ve gone the other way.

CARDINALS moneyline over the Bengals +136 — I don’t think this Bengals team will be win until Burrow gets healthy, which won’t happen until their bye week. ❌ Burrows back?

Chiefs, Ravens, DOLPHINS moneyline parley +158 — Another free money bet. Who’s going to lose? ❌ Sigh

LIONS moneyline & Goff over 242.5 passing yards +130 - I expect a lot from Goff this game. ❌ Goff ended up with 236 passing yards

Last week: 1-4

This week: 0-5

Season to date: 6-15

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Steelers -2.5 at TEXANS — The Texans played well last week but might trot out 3rd string OLs which I think the Steelers will take advantage of. ❌ Go Texans!

Chiefs -9 at JETS — The Jets won’t score more than 10 points and the Chiefs will get to around 24, simple as that. ❌ Chiefs play down to their competition, bad bet

JAGUARS -3 vs. Falcons — The Prince is back at home and I expect him to play well given his performance last week. The fact that the Jags play so many London games seems unfair. ✅ This played out like I thought it would

Chiefs, 49ERS, Bengals moneyline parley +133 — Another free money bet. Who’s going to lose? ❌ What is going on with the Bengals?

Chargers over 26.5 points & Joshua Palmer over 44.5 receiving yards +212 - This is a little flier that I stole my friend JD. Nothing else to say about this. ❌ So close!

Last week: 2-3

This week: 1-4

Season to date: 6-10

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Dolphins -6 vs. Broncos — The Dolphins keep looking good and Russ might get benched soon. ✅ wish I bet multiple units on this.

Titans over BROWNS moneyline +124 — The Titans are a well run team and the Browns just lost their best player for the year and Watson looks as bad as ever. ❌ Ouch, Watson looked as bad as I thought but that defense is incredible.

CHIEFS, Cowboys, SEAHAWKS, Bills moneyline parley +158 — I like all of these teams to win and I didn’t like any other opportunities available this week. ❌ This was free money but then the Cowboys Cowboys’ed.

Zay Flowers anytime TD +175 - The Colts defense is terrible and Lamar is starting to cook. ❌ This was just a silly bet.

Isiah Pacheco, Tyreek Hill anytime TD parley +358 - Pacheco hasn’t scored a TD all season and I suspect that will change against the terrible Bears. Tyreek is chasing records. I like them both to score this weekend. ✅ This made up for that terrible Cowboys game

Last week: 2-1

This week: 2-3

Season to date: 5-6

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Dolphins -3 at PATRIOTS — The Dolphins looked as good as I thought they would last week and I don’t believe in the Patriots. ✅ The final score doesn’t tell the whole story, this played out like I thought it would.

Packers +1.5 at FALCONS — Jordan Love might be legit and I know Desmond Ridder isn’t. ✅ Not exactly what I thought but I’ll take it.

Giants -4 at CARDNIALS — The Giants are better than they looked last week and the Cardinals are going 0-17. ❌ A massive comeback only to come up short, figures.

Last week: 1-2

This week: 2-1

Season to date: 3-3

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Dolphins +3 at CHARGERS — I think this Dolphins team is going to be really good. ✅ Like I said.

SEAHAWKS -4.5 vs. Rams — I suspect the Seahawks to build off of their success last season and the Rams to tank this season. ❌ I’m still not sure what happened to the Seahawks.

VIKINGS -4 vs. Bucs — I’m buying into the Quarterbacks hype. ❌ Wow that was bad.

Season to date: 1-2